Bitcoin sank 4% on Tuesday, briefly touching a one-month low as escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine battered sentiment towards cryptocurrencies.
The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, a popular gauge of investor sentiment, indicated extreme fear. Reports said Russian President Vladimir Putin had ordered troops into separatist regions in eastern Ukraine.
Bitcoin has slumped nearly 20% to $37,000, from a high hit earlier this month. The token is on the cusp of entering a bear market, and may not recover substantially until late-2024, according to Huobi’s CEO.
Market participants are now forecasting a possible drop to as much as $32,000. Twitter analyst @CredibleCrypto says:
There are a couple of different ways I can see this playing out but want to see some more (price action) develop for now. Big picture- weekly support at 32-34k, still don’t think 28k will be breached.
Invalidation pretty much hit at this point- time to reassess. There are a couple of different ways I can see this playing out but want to see some more PA develop for now. Big picture- weekly support at 32-34k, still don’t think 28k will be breached, will know more in a few days. pic.twitter.com/TQmp6nnJqa
— Credible Crypto (@CredibleCrypto) February 22, 2022
The world’s largest cryptocurrency has not been alone in its losses. Ethereum dropped more than 6% to a three-week low, while XRP and Cardano slumped 13% each. Crypto market capitalization dropped 7% over the last 24 hours to $1.75 trillion.
Global stock markets slumped as well, while the dollar strengthened on safe-haven demand. Expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve this year, along with rising inflation have also dampened the outlook for risk-driven assets.
Stablecoins saw the highest volumes among their peers, with Tether in the lead over the past 24 hours. Gold and U.S. Treasuries have also been favored this month.
Still some hope?
Still, not all market participants are bearish on crypto. Plan B, the creator of the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, said Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average indicated a bullish trend, and that it would move past the current volatility. Analysts have also said that the currency could bounce back sharply as the relatively lower price attracts more buyers.